{"id":10777,"date":"2018-10-10T13:02:58","date_gmt":"2018-10-10T17:02:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/?p=10777"},"modified":"2019-01-10T23:58:09","modified_gmt":"2019-01-11T04:58:09","slug":"majority-party-shifts-in-the-u-s-congress-how-historical-events-of-fear-alter-the-political-landscape","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/labs\/majority-party-shifts-in-the-u-s-congress-how-historical-events-of-fear-alter-the-political-landscape\/","title":{"rendered":"Majority Party Shifts in the U.S. Congress: How Historical Fear Inducing Events Alter the Political Landscape"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>INTRODUCTION:<\/p>\n<p>Today\u2019s political landscape has been characterized as a culture of fear.\u00a0 It has been invoked in concrete and abstract ways and channeled by politicians as they spread their messages to the electorate.\u00a0 But fear has ebbed and flowed throughout American political history, and by no means is unique to this country or a political party.\u00a0 As history shows, fear has the power to jolt the electorate in different directions, and when strong enough, it can override voter\u2019s preexisting partisan categories.\u00a0 These moments of reorder and destabilization have been a part of the electoral landscape since the beginning of this nation.<\/p>\n<p>In this visualization, the history of the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate are examined to assess how political party majorities have been affected by historical events that are spawning grounds for fear.\u00a0 Historical events included in this particular visualization are wars, assassinations, financial crises, and a few other noteworthy events.\u00a0 Events are shown in relation to percentage of seats held by the majority political party throughout the history of the United States.\u00a0 Also for reference, value of seats held and name of political party is shown.<\/p>\n<p>DISCUSSION:<\/p>\n<p>The initial investigation into this data looked into bipartisanship in the U.S. Congress by examining the average overlap of votes between political parties over time.\u00a0 Further research led me to this visualization, which is quite effective in conveying the information and answering questions I had on the topic.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.mamartino.com\/projects\/rise_of_partisanship\/\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mamartino.com\/projects\/rise_of_partisanship\/img\/bg.jpg?w=840\" alt=\"Polarization\" \/>http:\/\/www.mamartino.com\/projects\/rise_of_partisanship\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Reassessing the data, I explored the shifts in political party majorities, with particular emphasis on the percentage of seats held during each session of congress.\u00a0 After reviewing these shifts in the visualization, I began to research what was happening in the congressional session just before or during these shifts and recognized many included war and financial crises.\u00a0 After adding in data for each major war, financial crises, political assassinations, and a few other noteworthy events, the pattern became clear that during these moments of turmoil and national fear, political parties were able to gain a stronger hold upon congress.\u00a0 Each party has capitalized on these moments and taken control.<\/p>\n<p>MATERIALS:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/voteview.com\/\">Vote View<\/a>\u00a0&#8211; data source that includes every vote recorded in the U.S. Senate, categorized by session of congress, member, party, roll call vote<\/li>\n<li><a style=\"font-size: 1.0625rem\" href=\"https:\/\/office.live.com\/start\/Excel.aspx\">Microsoft Excel<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 1.0625rem\">\u00a0&#8211; spreadsheet software used to explore data and make a few basic calculations\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><a style=\"font-size: 1.0625rem\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tableau.com\/\">Tableau<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 1.0625rem\">\u00a0&#8211; free software to create interactive data visualizations to be shared in both public and private settings<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>METHODS:<\/p>\n<p>Starting with an investigation into how political party majorities have shifted throughout the history of congress, I began to look into effective ways to communicate this.\u00a0 As member totals have changed throughout our history, depending on number of states in union, redistricting districts, etc., percentages were used to normalize data between sessions.\u00a0 As this was primarily an investigation into when political landscapes tend to shift, the party itself was less important, so color was used to express these shifts for emphasis (Figures 1 and 2).<\/p>\n<p>These figures originally had the number of members on the y-axis, however, the decision to normalize the y-axis was made to give more emphasis on party majority shifts.\u00a0 The changing member count values were confusing the viewer and not adding to the question at hand; while be it interesting to view the increases in members as states were added to the union and temporarily lost during the Civil War.<\/p>\n<p>At this point, the political party graphs (Figures 3 and 4) were included to give context and numerical values to the previous figures.\u00a0 A prior knowledge of the political history of the U.S. is needed to gain much insight from Figures 3 and 4, as the agendas of political parties have changed throughout history so it is important not to assess parties in history as the same as their modern incarnation.<\/p>\n<p>RESULTS:<\/p>\n<p>Figures 1 and 2 express the majority party power shifts through the history of both the House of Representatives and the Senate of the United States.\u00a0 This is shown through percentage of seats held by the majority party.\u00a0 Significant gains by majority parties have been made throughout history during moments of national uncertainty and fear, in particular, during times of war, financial crises, and assassinations.\u00a0 Historical context is given in the timeline through text.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-10883 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/House-Majority-Shifts-2-e1539182138589-300x179.png?resize=785%2C468\" alt=\"\" width=\"785\" height=\"468\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/House-Majority-Shifts-2-e1539182138589.png?resize=300%2C179&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/House-Majority-Shifts-2-e1539182138589.png?resize=768%2C459&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/House-Majority-Shifts-2-e1539182138589.png?resize=1024%2C612&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/House-Majority-Shifts-2-e1539182138589.png?w=1680 1680w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 785px) 100vw, 785px\" \/><span style=\"color: #999999\">Figure 1 &#8211;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/public.tableau.com\/views\/U_S_HouseofRepresentativesMajorityPartyShiftswithHistoricalContext\/Sheet1?:embed=y&amp;:display_count=yes\">Public Higher Resolution Link<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-10872 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/Senate-Majority-Shifts.png?resize=745%2C444\" alt=\"\" width=\"745\" height=\"444\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/Senate-Majority-Shifts.png?resize=300%2C179&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/Senate-Majority-Shifts.png?resize=768%2C459&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/Senate-Majority-Shifts.png?resize=1024%2C612&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/Senate-Majority-Shifts.png?zoom=2&amp;resize=745%2C444 1490w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 745px) 100vw, 745px\" \/><span style=\"color: #999999\">Figure 2 &#8211;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/public.tableau.com\/views\/U_S_SenateMajorityPartyShiftswithHistoricalContext\/Sheet2?:embed=y&amp;:display_count=yes\">Public Higher Resolution Link<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>While a deeper look is certainly needed, it appears that political parties tend to increase majority concentrations during periods of unrest and fear.\u00a0 During these moments of national panic, the electorate is more likely to get behind a particular ideology and allow it to have significantly more power.\u00a0 The political slant of the electorate can shift from their own internal anxiety of the times, as well as external rhetoric from a political party.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-10871 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/House-Party-Majority.png?resize=840%2C500\" alt=\"\" width=\"840\" height=\"500\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/House-Party-Majority.png?resize=300%2C179&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/House-Party-Majority.png?resize=768%2C459&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/House-Party-Majority.png?w=1680 1680w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 840px) 100vw, 840px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #999999\">Figure 3<\/span> &#8211;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/public.tableau.com\/views\/U_S_HouseofRepresentativesMajoritybyPercentageandParty\/Sheet3?:embed=y&amp;:display_count=yes\">Public Higher Resolution Link<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-10873 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/Senate-Party-Majority.png?resize=840%2C501\" alt=\"\" width=\"840\" height=\"501\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/Senate-Party-Majority.png?resize=300%2C179&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/Senate-Party-Majority.png?resize=768%2C459&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/Senate-Party-Majority.png?resize=1024%2C612&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/Senate-Party-Majority.png?w=1680 1680w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 840px) 100vw, 840px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #999999\">Figure 4 &#8211;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/public.tableau.com\/views\/U_S_SenateMajoritybyPercentageandParty\/Sheet4?:embed=y&amp;:display_count=yes\">Public Higher Resolution Link<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Figures 3 and 4 give context to this investigation through highlighting majority percentage as well as the political party name.\u00a0 Capitalizing on these moments of turmoil is certainly not unique to any party.\u00a0 It is prudent for the electorate to understand how the nation&#8217;s emotional state can allow political parties to increase their power by gaining majority percentages in both the House and Senate.<\/p>\n<p>REFLECTION:<\/p>\n<p>This investigation is meant to be a conversational catalyst, examining congressional data within its historical context.\u00a0 By no means is this a scientific analysis, as the topics covered are complex and open for discussion.\u00a0 That being said, there is clearly a pattern of majority party dominance during periods that are universally understood as turmoil and fear inducing.\u00a0 My interpretation of this correlation is political parties capitalizing on these moments of fear for their benefit, however, there are clearly other ways to explain this pattern.<\/p>\n<p>This lab primary focus for me was getting a handle on the possibilities of Tableau.\u00a0 Before settling on these sheets, I explored different graph types and tried to better understand the formula and calculations possible in the software.\u00a0 The use of Stories and the Dashboard wasn&#8217;t used here and requires further investigation in the future; clearly this lab only scratched the surface of the possibilities within Tableau. The process followed was a bit journalistic in nature, exploring a pattern, and then investigating particular moments within the pattern.<\/p>\n<p>In the future, I would like to revisit the question of bipartisanship and combine this with the historical context used in this lab.\u00a0 Does landmark legislation get passed more often by bipartisan support or when a particular party has more control?\u00a0 How is this influenced by the historical context?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>INTRODUCTION: Today\u2019s political landscape has been characterized as a culture of fear.\u00a0 It has been invoked in concrete and abstract ways and channeled by politicians as they spread their messages to the electorate.\u00a0 But fear has ebbed and flowed throughout American political history, and by no means is unique to this country or a political&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":551,"featured_media":10883,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[340,149],"tags":[263,115,265,5,267,264,123,266],"coauthors":[324],"class_list":["post-10777","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-charts","category-labs","tag-congress","tag-data-visualization","tag-fear","tag-information-visualization","tag-political-majorities","tag-political-party","tag-tableau-public","tag-turmoil"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2018\/10\/House-Majority-Shifts-2-e1539182138589.png?fit=2060%2C1232&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paBdcV-2NP","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10777","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/551"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10777"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10777\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10935,"href":"https:\/\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10777\/revisions\/10935"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10883"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10777"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10777"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10777"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/studentwork.prattsi.org\/infovis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=10777"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}